The 4% Rule: Your Retirement Number

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If you’ve ever wondered how much you need to retire, there’s a quick way to get a number.

The rule

Once you have enough invested, you withdraw 4% of it in your first year of retirement, then raise that amount with inflation each year. Historically, that money lasted at least 30 years.

Flip it around

Take what you spend in a year. Multiply it by 25. That’s roughly how much you need invested.

  • Spend $40,000 a year: about $1 million
  • Spend $80,000 a year: about $2 million
  • Spend $100,000 a year: about $2.5 million

That’s why your spending is the most important number in any retirement plan, not your income.

Where it breaks

  • It assumes a balanced mix of stocks and bonds and a 30-year retirement
  • Retiring early means a longer runway, so many planners use a lower rate
  • A bad market in your first few years hurts the most

Worth knowing: Bill Bengen, the advisor who came up with the 4% rule, has since updated his research and now suggests 4.7%. Either way, treat it as a target, not a guarantee.

What I actually use: Fidelity for my Roth IRA and brokerage, and the rest on my What I Use page.

General education, not advice for your situation.

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